{"id":1236,"date":"2024-02-01T09:10:40","date_gmt":"2024-02-01T09:10:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ventil.rs\/blog\/world\/china-sets-sights-on-taiwans-three-remaining-tiny-pacific-allies\/"},"modified":"2024-02-01T09:10:40","modified_gmt":"2024-02-01T09:10:40","slug":"china-sets-sights-on-taiwans-three-remaining-tiny-pacific-allies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ventil.rs\/blog\/world\/china-sets-sights-on-taiwans-three-remaining-tiny-pacific-allies\/","title":{"rendered":"China sets sights on Taiwan\u2019s three remaining tiny Pacific allies"},"content":{"rendered":"


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When Tuvalu\u2019s new government gathers for the first time in the coming days, legislators in the tiny island nation will make two decisions whose effects will ripple across the Pacific, all the way to Washington.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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First, the 16 lawmakers will decide which of them will lead the nation of 11,000 people. Then they\u2019ll turn their attention to an even bigger issue: What to do about China?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Tuvalu is one of only three Pacific Island nations that still recognize Taiwan, following Nauru\u2019s diplomatic swing to China last month But that could change following last week\u2019s election, when Tuvalu\u2019s pro-Taiwan prime minister surprisingly lost his seat.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Seve Paeniu, the more pro-China finance minister, was not only reelected but also has emerged as one of the top contenders to become prime minister.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Paeniu told The Washington Post he was open to recognizing China \u2014 a move that would leave the self-governing island of Taiwan with just two allies in the Pacific \u2014 Palau and the Marshall Islands \u2014 and fewer than a dozen worldwide.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cAs far as I am concerned, it boils down to whichever country \u2026 offers the greatest support to achieving Tuvalu\u2019s development priorities and aspirations,\u201d Paeniu said. \u201cThe whole relationship will need to be reviewed and assessed carefully before arriving at an informed decision on the switch.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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As China vies with the United States for power and influence in the Pacific, it has tirelessly tried to pry allies away from Taiwan by many means \u2014 chief among them, money.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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It has offered much-needed funds to struggling island nations like Nauru, and allegedly<\/a> doled out envelopes of cash to officials<\/a> \u2014 an accusation Beijing denies. They have approached Pacific politicians as they travel overseas, inviting some to lunch and surveilling others. Two Pacific leaders said Chinese officials called to berate them so often they changed their numbers.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cChina sees an opportunity,\u201d said Surangel Whipps, Jr., the president of Palau, one of Taiwan\u2019s two other remaining allies in the Pacific, who changed his number after calls from a Chinese official turned angry. Whipps said he and his country have come under intense pressure from Beijing ahead of an election this November.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cThey are trying to get the message across: Join us and you\u2019ll be better off,\u201d he said in an interview. \u201cAnd it is tempting when you\u2019re hit with covid, when you have a lot of debt, when your country is up against the wall and China says we should do all of this for you.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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China\u2019s Foreign Ministry did not respond to a request for comment.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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As China arrives with a splash in Honduras, the U.S. wrings its hands<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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It is all part of Beijing\u2019s decades-long campaign to intimidate Taiwan, which it claims is part of China and which has ramped up under Chinese leader Xi Jinping, who recently said that China\u2019s rule over the island is \u201cinevitable.\u201d Beijing has pushed countries to recognize China, not Taiwan, as a way to bolster its claims and, by picking off its allies, China isolates Taiwan on the international stage.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Chinese officials appear to be redoubling these efforts after Lai Ching-te<\/a> of the Democratic Progressive Party, a man Beijing considers a dangerous separatist, was elected the next president of Taiwan.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Nauru\u2019s surprise switch<\/p>\n<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n

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Two days after the election, Nauru gave Taiwan two hours\u2019 notice that it was ending relations with Taipei<\/a> \u201ceffective immediately\u201d and establishing ties with Beijing.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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As recently as November, Nauru and Taiwan were discussing new <\/b>airline routes. That month, Nauru officials met with Taiwan and its other Pacific allies on the sidelines of a summit in the Cook Islands. There was no sign Nauru was about to switch. \u201cI thought everything was great,\u201d said Whipps, who was at the meeting.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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But by year\u2019s end, Taiwanese Foreign Minister Joseph Wu was hearing otherwise. Nauru\u2019s Foreign Minister Lionel Aingimea told him the island <\/b>was under \u201clots of financial pressure\u201d because of a drop in funding from Australia for an offshore refugee processing center, Wu said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Wu offered to speak with the United States and Australia about making up the shortfall, but in the background China was already making moves.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Taiwan loses another diplomatic ally as Nauru recognizes China<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Wu soon learned that Beijing was offering Nauru a deal worth more than $100 million \u2014 more than half of Nauru\u2019s 2023-24 budget and more than 10 times what Taiwan gave Nauru annually in project-based aid.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cWe were told by a Nauru friend \u2026 that China promised them that the aid is unlimited \u2014 whatever they requested,\u201d Wu said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Aingimea said last month\u2019s diplomatic switch was because China was better able to help Nauru. \u201cTo say it\u2019s a question of dollars is absolutely an insult to us,\u201d he told The Post. \u201cIt\u2019s about our development strategy.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Beijing had agreed to infrastructure projects including a sports stadium, schools, hospitals and office complexes, as well as plans to move vulnerable coastal buildings to higher ground and to extend the life of aging phosphate mines.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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The discussions with China began more than a year ago, Aingimea said. Nauru never told Taipei it was thinking of switching <\/b>but it mentioned \u201cgeopolitical pressures.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cThey should have stepped up and said they would come and help,\u201d Aingimea said. \u201cWe\u2019re not a beggar nation that goes around asking people with our hands out.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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After the success with Nauru, Chinese officials have since promised to lure away more of Taiwan\u2019s remaining allies<\/a> \u2014 11 countries, many of them small, and the Holy See. The head of the diplomatic team overseeing the reopening of China\u2019s Embassy in Nauru <\/a>last week suggested the remaining three Pacific nations would soon switch.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cChina has already established diplomatic ties with 10 Pacific countries \u2014 Nauru was the 11th and I\u2019m confident it won\u2019t be the last,\u201d Wang Xuguang told Chinese state media<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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The competition over allies also illustrates China\u2019s bid for influence in regions typically under Western sway.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cIn the past, Beijing\u2019s focus was mainly Taiwan itself,\u201d said Lu Yeh-chung, a professor of diplomacy at the National Chengchi University in Taipei. \u201cNow they\u2019ve shown they intend to compete with the United States and Australia by snatching Taiwan\u2019s allies in the South Pacific.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Nauru\u2019s switch also points to a new effort by Beijing to make the one-China principle \u2014 which maintains that Taiwan is part of China \u2014 an accepted fact. Announcing its switch and adherence to the one-China principle, Nauru described it as \u201cin line\u201d with a United Nations resolution in 1971 that established Beijing as the sole representative of China to the body. By linking the two, Beijing is \u201csneaking the idea that Taiwan is part of China into the rules-based international order,\u201d said Lu.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Tuvalu\u2019s newly elected officials are now in the process of choosing who will become prime minister. Apart from Paeniu, most of the front-runners have publicly dismissed the idea of switching ties to Beijing. Opposition leader Enele Sopoaga, who retained his place in parliament, said in December that he would \u201cnever\u201d side with China.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Taiwan provides Tuvalu around $12 million per year in direct budgetary support, along with funds for projects including roughly $10 million for a proposed new parliament building, said Taiwan\u2019s ambassador to Tuvalu, Andrew Lin.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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A sinking nation is offered an escape route. But there\u2019s a catch.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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All the while, China has been targeting Tuvalu officials.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Simon Kofe, a member of parliament who was reelected last week, said he was approached by Chinese officials during a trip to Fiji, which has diplomatic ties with Beijing, in 2022, when he was Tuvalu\u2019s foreign affairs minister. The officials offered a meeting with the Chinese ambassador, but Kofe declined. \u201cIf it\u2019s happened to me, then it definitely is happening to others,\u201d Kofe said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Taiwan\u2019s other Pacific allies \u2014 Palau and the Marshall Islands \u2014 have security agreements called compacts of free association with the United States that make a switch less likely.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Marshallese President Hilda Heine said her nation still had strong ties to Taiwan and was not under Chinese pressure to switch \u201cat the moment.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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But Whipps said Palau\u2019s close U.S. relationship made it even more of a target for China: \u201cThey are very interested in flipping a compact country.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Palau won\u2019t switch while he is president, Whipps said. But he feared for what would happen if someone else were elected.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cWe know that if we all sever ties with Taiwan, that just gives China a green light to take over Taiwan,\u201d he said. \u201cFor a small island like us, that is kind of scary.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Miller reported from Sydney. Kuo and Chiang reported from Taipei.<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n


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