{"id":732,"date":"2023-10-31T14:15:55","date_gmt":"2023-10-31T14:15:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ventil.rs\/blog\/business\/a-key-measure-of-wages-grew-at-a-moderate-pace-this-summer\/"},"modified":"2023-10-31T14:15:55","modified_gmt":"2023-10-31T14:15:55","slug":"a-key-measure-of-wages-grew-at-a-moderate-pace-this-summer","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ventil.rs\/blog\/business\/a-key-measure-of-wages-grew-at-a-moderate-pace-this-summer\/","title":{"rendered":"A Key Measure of Wages Grew at a Moderate Pace This Summer"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">A measure of pay and benefits that officials at the Federal Reserve have been watching closely as they try to gauge the heat of the labor market grew at a moderate pace over the summer.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/eci\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Employment Cost Index<\/a>, a quarterly inflation measure from the Labor Department that tracks changes in wages and benefits, climbed 1.1 percent in the third quarter of 2023 versus the prior three months. That was slightly faster than the 1 percent that economists expected and up from the previous 1 percent reading.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Still, that pace of growth is a deceleration from a series of <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/ECIALLCIV\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">rapid quarterly gains<\/a> in 2022. And on an annual basis, wage gains continue to slow: The employment cost measure picked up by 4.3 percent on a yearly basis, down from the 4.5 percent reading in the previous report.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The index averaged 2.2 percent yearly gains in the decade leading up to the pandemic, underscoring that although the pace of wage gains is coming down, today\u2019s pace remains quick.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Rapid wage gains are good news for households, but they can present a challenge for economic policymakers. Officials at the Federal Reserve often worry that it will be hard to fully snuff out inflation if pay gains are climbing quickly. Companies that are paying workers higher wages are likely to try to charge more to cover their costs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Fed officials are <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/10\/31\/business\/economy\/what-to-watch-federal-reserve-meeting.html\" title=\"\">meeting this week<\/a> to discuss what to do next with interest rates, and are widely expected to hold borrowing costs steady at the conclusion of their two-day meeting on Wednesday. They have already raised interest rates to a range of 5.25 to 5.5 percent, up from near-zero in March 2022, in a bid to slow inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Higher rates make it more expensive to borrow money to buy a house, purchase a car or expand a business. As companies hire less voraciously and demand wanes, wage growth should slow and companies should find it more difficult to raise prices without losing customers. That chain reaction is expected to put a lid on inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But the labor market\u2019s cool-down has been an unexpectedly bumpy one. Job gains have slowed somewhat, but they <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/live\/2023\/10\/06\/business\/jobs-report-september-economy#the-us-added-336000-jobs-in-september\" title=\"\">remain much faster<\/a> than many economists had expected after so much Fed action. That is why Fed officials are so closely watching wages.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">If pay growth is more modest even as companies are hiring, it suggests that continued job gains are being driven by an improving supply of applicants, and that the labor market is still coming back into balance.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The logic is simple: If the job market were running hot, companies would be paying more and more as they tried to poach needed employees from one another. That would keep pay gains climbing swiftly. If it was cooling toward a more normal level of tightness, economists would expect wage gains to pull back.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Another closely watched measure of wage growth, the average hourly earnings index that is released each month as part of the nonfarm payrolls report, has <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/CEU0500000003\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">been showing steady moderation<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">That gauge is useful because it comes out frequently, but it is also susceptible to data quirks. It tends to move around as the composition of the work force shifts. If a lot of low-wage workers gain jobs, for instance, the hourly earnings measure can drift lower.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Given that, Fed officials closely monitor the Employment Cost Index, which avoids some of the data pitfalls that afflict other wage measures.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/10\/31\/business\/economy\/wage-growth-inflation-federal-reserve.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A measure of pay and benefits that officials at the Federal Reserve have been watching closely as they try to gauge the heat of the labor market grew at a moderate pace over the summer. The Employment Cost Index, a quarterly inflation measure from the Labor Department that tracks changes in wages and benefits, climbed&#8230;<\/p>\n<p class=\"more-link-wrap\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ventil.rs\/blog\/business\/a-key-measure-of-wages-grew-at-a-moderate-pace-this-summer\/\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &ldquo;A Key Measure of Wages Grew at a Moderate Pace This Summer&rdquo;<\/span> &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":733,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2023\/10\/31\/multimedia\/31dc-FedWages-lqkz\/31dc-FedWages-lqkz-facebookJumbo.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-732","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v17.8 (Yoast SEO v22.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>A Key Measure of Wages Grew at a Moderate Pace This Summer - Breaking News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ventil.rs\/blog\/business\/a-key-measure-of-wages-grew-at-a-moderate-pace-this-summer\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Key Measure of Wages Grew at a Moderate Pace This Summer\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A measure of pay and benefits that officials at the Federal Reserve have been watching closely as they try to gauge the heat of the labor market grew at a moderate pace over the summer. 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